Postprint version. Published in Journal of Empirical Finance, Volume 8, Issue 2, May 1, 2001, pages 201-218.
NOTE: At the time of publication, the author Sanjiv Jaggia was not yet affiliated with Cal Poly.
The definitive version is available at https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-5398(01)00023-8.
A significant proportion of firms that reorganize under Chapter 11 file for a second Chapter 11 protection or liquidate. We use a "split-population" duration model that provides useful information regarding factors that could lead to a second bankruptcy. We find that the probability (hazard) of a firm re-entering bankruptcy is lower for firms that take a long time to reorganize, reduce their debt-to-assets ratio, do not divest, belong to an industry that has low capacity utilization and low demand growth. We also find that the probability of an average firm re-entering bankruptcy increases for about 4 years before declining.